Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 67.144340 75.885160 84.856552 94.720504 105.229621 116.061632 128.040625
2025-05-18 53.759325 66.252929 79.689746 95.082061 112.099817 130.223214 150.869271
2025-05-25 45.148069 59.564353 75.632194 94.593139 116.099642 139.505354 166.680134
2025-06-01 39.044764 54.816426 72.961566 94.922571 120.361695 148.530669 181.722795
2025-06-08 33.417634 49.944665 69.560454 93.875566 122.589541 154.879722 193.422662
2025-06-15 29.971139 47.336553 68.508767 95.280717 127.393428 163.950613 208.028191
2025-06-22 27.115031 45.166501 67.740428 96.809209 132.166677 172.852462 222.336673
2025-06-29 23.623243 41.822785 65.237581 95.990697 133.954164 178.130330 232.342286
2025-07-06 20.025374 37.982141 61.819562 93.793436 133.875112 181.051770 239.468975
2025-07-13 19.016961 37.679453 62.939537 97.253780 140.661260 192.092898 256.109257
2025-07-20 17.606702 36.654337 62.998884 99.282773 145.629641 200.931377 270.139559
2025-07-27 15.510846 34.403046 61.249866 98.852063 147.444682 205.910089 279.544431
2025-08-03 13.437649 32.007419 59.191530 97.952259 148.652483 210.176777 288.166371
2025-08-10 12.042640 30.561396 58.377265 98.638602 151.830350 216.828220 299.651753
2025-08-17 10.459223 28.619680 56.721753 98.089063 153.347512 221.384033 308.569216
2025-08-24 9.269520 27.224273 55.774134 98.433486 155.967046 227.267636 319.075459
2025-08-31 7.876207 25.276210 53.873593 97.362550 156.668884 230.715207 326.578589
2025-09-07 7.169420 24.548193 53.788648 98.798326 160.641660 238.241789 339.070656
2025-09-14 6.550978 23.919415 53.813383 100.359678 164.764373 245.952348 351.795094
2025-09-21 5.541605 22.328911 52.213973 99.523584 165.640647 249.530913 359.407658
2025-09-28 4.417955 20.269647 49.716063 97.278804 164.543743 250.545533 363.801988
2025-10-05 4.313452 20.571834 51.147252 100.813779 171.285601 261.577111 380.659529
2025-10-12 3.996045 20.308939 51.599744 102.886024 176.033709 270.062297 394.361104